By: Mehari M. T. Amsterdam, The Netherlands
The incessant and pervasive policy failures of the TPLF
idiots, in whose hands Ethiopia’s fate and progress have
been placed for the last fifteen years, has now created a huge
sore in the horn of Africa in general and Ethiopia in particular ready to
erupt any time soon. The justice system in
Ethiopia is chaotic, political prisoners are locked up without
trial for years on end and TPLF´s special force and police
act like an occupying force. As a consequence of TPLF`s recent
adventurous invasion of Somalia, moreover, a huge war is once again
hovering over the ever troubled horn of Africa.
The fierce battle in Mogadishu and the failure of the TPLF´s army to
pacify the capital suggest that TPLF and TFG of Gadi are far
from defeating the UIC. By invading Somalia TPLF has, in fact, opened a
Pandora box, which he will not be able to close easily. Its initial
announcement regarding the withdrawal of two third of his invading army proved
to be just a publicity stunt after it dispatched
thousands heavily equipped soldiers to reinforce its
battered army in Mogadishu.
Credible sources confirmed that every alley in
Mogadishu is now a booby
trap for TPLF Soldiers. Though the TPLF has so far refrained
from disclosing its losses, credible source suggest that the
TPLF`S Mogadishu
adventure has not been a picnic.
Overwhelmed by the severity of the
situation they underestimated, the Ugandan peace keepers are now
quacking like a petrified duck not knowing what to do or where to hide.
By tagging Ethiopian opposition forces as terrorist,
TPLF wanted to get financial and political backing from the US,
the sole super power that is intimidating; terrorizing and
attacking the world like an intoxicated village sheriff. Inflated by
recent defections of Ethiopian army soldiers,
including senior generals, Ethiopian opposition forces have now
become a serious threat to his regime. The recent attack of oil exploration
plant in southern Ethiopia, where 74 people including nine Chinese
were killed suggests that it is increasingly getting hot for Meles.
The cunning Meles, who needed all assistance he
could get to break the stagnant embrace strangling his regime, misled the
gullible Americans into believing that Somalia was becoming a save haven
for Islamists. In realty,
however, Meles does not care about Jihad in Somalia.
In fact he, personally, facilitated the recent conference of
Eritrean Opposition Groups
in Addis Ababa, some of which are struggling
to turn Eritrea into an Islamic state.
Unfortunately, the US failed to understand either the complexity of the
Somali problem or the nature of TPLF leaders and felt into
Meles´ trap. Meles Zenawi has failed in materializing his objective
in Somalia and the situation is getting bigger and much more complex than he
ever anticipated.
Cognizant of the fact that all roads to peace
in the horn pass through Asmara, TPLF leaders are now bent into
badmouthing Eritrea as the root of all Ethiopian problems.
As a pretext, they have been attempting to
incriminate Eritrea. Through this smear campaign, TPLF leaders are
hoping to get the political blessing and military support
to oust the Eritrean government. Once the Eritrean government is ousted
and a puppet government is installed in Asmara, they can
turn their army to crush his internal opponents.
Again, hoodwinked by TPLF cadres, US officials
have been repeating Meles´ allegation as a mantra.
Of course, at the end of the day the US, like the EU, will reconcile with
the fact that Eritrea, under its current leadership, is a
key player in regional politics.
The insinuations coming from the federal capital
Addis and the recent Meles speech at the Parliament are all indicating that
TPLF is up to no good. The US backed weapon purchase from North
Korea, despite the imposed sanction, indicate that Meles has convinced the
US administration that Isayas is the architect of tribulations in the Horn.
With American technical and logistical support and the
recent weapon-shopping spree, TPLF´s capability
must not be misjudged. Yet, Its
reputation among Eritrea’s remains to be the biggest stumbling
block its leaders have so far failed to crack. Despite
its reservation with many
unconventional policies of the Eritrea government,
Eritrean population abhors TPLF as well as Eritrean opposition groups
befriended to it. TPLF´s
declaration of war will, therefore, reinforce Eritrean
unity to a level that we observed in 1998-2000 wars. The
unity has been the only lethal weapon that defeated all Ethiopian
regimes that attempted to subjugate or intimidate Eritrea. Weyane know and
fear this Eritrea weapon and whatever
weapon they purchase has so far proved to be futile. The main
reason why Meles is attempting to protract the current
stand off is to weaken this
unity by creating new contradictions and sharpening
existing antagonism among Eritrean.
Meles wants neither a strong government nor a strong
Eritrean opposition forces.
For Weyane, any united Eritrean force, including a united
opposition, is a threat. For instance, Wayne's support to the
opposition has been meagre. Equally, the role of Weyane
leaders in ironing out the
differences that emerged during the recent conference
of the Eritrean Opposition Forces in Addis has been skimpy. By
perpetuating the state of
confusion and by sharpening their weakness, Weyane leaders
have been attempting to prevent the emergence of a formidable opposition force.
What Weyane leaders in reality want is to oust the current
government by force and to put in place a leadership
which is not capable to unite Eritreans. This will enable them to create
and sustain a disunited Eritrea divided along
religious and ethnic lines.
Once that situation is created,
Weyane will protect its interests in Eritrea through
surrogates. What the international community needs to know is the fact that the
instability in the Horn of Africa is the making of the TPLF. TPLF rigged
election results and crashed democratic forces in his own nation. TPLF invaded
Somalia under a false pretext and without any mandate thereby disrupting the
peace and stability the Islamic Court managed to restore in over fifteen years.
By aiding Moslem extremists, TPLF has also been striving to balkanise Eritrea.
Not to forget, it is the TPLF regime that is militarising the region using the
aid and budgetary support it has been receiving to feed the ever hungry and
sick Ethiopia.
The US is free to love Ethiopia and everything Ethiopia has to
offer.
However, taking political positions merely on the basis
of self-interest is unethical. The fact that the US is taking
TPLF information with regard to Eritrea at face value is
simply because it serve its interest in the short run. On the long run,
however, it is destructive because it is stimulating the Ethiopian government
to pursue the dangerous path it has embarked upon.
Today, TPLF is fighting to get out of the quagmire it is in. Of
course, in the process it is causing a misery to the peoples of
the horn and as all its predecessors, it is trying to make
Eritrea the scapegoat for all its failures. Considering the fact that fighting
Eritrea was the cause behind
the demise of all its predecessors, its adventure
in Eritrea will be nothing more than its downfall.